Bettor Breakdown: UFC 141: Lesnar vs. Overeem

The Picks: Parlay together Nam Phan (-225), Jon Fitch (-250) and Donald Cerrone (-280) to better their opponents.

The Bet: $10 to win $17.44

I’ve talked during length about how dangerous parlaying bets are. If we make it a habit, it will single-handedly turn your rain and will keep we in a red (negatives) for a prolonged time. With that being said, parlays can also be good to we if you’re intelligent. Keep your parlays to once a month and don’t place a gamble above 10 dollars. It might be interesting to do it twice in one month if we won a initial one, yet don’t, since a chances of we attack it again are VERY low.

Nam Phan is apropos a plain warrior and his systematic distinguished picks his opponents apart. It’s adult to him to urge a takedown and acquiescence attempts and to keep it standing. If he can do that, he’s got this quarrel in a bag. | Despite a fact that he’s had a prolonged layoff due to injury, Jon Fitch is still roving a five-fight winning strain (not including his pull with BJ Penn). Johny Hendricks is a critical threat, yet this is a outrageous step adult in foe for him. If Fitch can hang to his bread and butter and douse Hendricks, Fitch could simply supplement another quarrel to that strain he already has going. | In a final hitch of this parlay, we have Donald Cerrone and Nate Diaz going toe-to-toe. Even yet this looks like it should be a tough quarrel to select a leader in, Cerrone’s all around skills creates it easier to select a victor. Both Cerrone and Diaz have unusual distinguished and are unequivocally good off their backs, yet Cerrone’s restraint is what’s going to give him a corner on Friday. Diaz’s resiliency will make a hitch final fifteen minutes, and we can also design it to be a Fight of a Night.

Tip 1: If you’re a betting beginner, chances are we will confirm many of your bets will be on a complicated underdogs. The thought of betting $20 to win $100 will disease your mind and we won’t be means to shun it. If we can’t equivocate that theatre during all, try and make it as brief as we can. Betting protected is smarter than betting risky. While betting unsure pays out sometimes, some-more mostly than not, it’ll leave we with dirt in your wallet.

Tip 2: The opening lines are always a best times to make your bet. Once everybody starts betting, a bookie will change a lines to contingency that simulate a bets some-more accurately.

Tip 3: Don’t usually gamble formed on a past. Do research. Fighters are changing aspects of their stay each singular fight. Whether it’s what they’re operative on (ground game, striking), who they’re bringing in (Pat Barry in Deathclutch), or if they’re changing where their stay is altogether (Miguel Torres going to Greg Jackson) it should all cause into your betting decision.

Situation: Alistair Overeem (-137) vs. Brock Lesnar (+117)
The Bet: Bet on Alistair Overeem to better Brock Lesnar (Bet $10 to win $7.30)

Brock Lesnar does not like being punched in a face. I’m not observant he can’t take a punch, since he has never mislaid by knockout. I’m not observant he can’t understanding with being punched, since he went opposite adversity during UFC 116 and withstood Carwin’s punishment to win a hitch by submission. He’s not confronting Cain Velasquez or Shane Carwin though. Brock is going adult opposite one of a best heavyweight strikers to quarrel in a octagon: Alistair Overeem. Just a year ago Overeem out-struck Tyrone Spong, pennyless Gokhan Saki’s bend and dominated a K-1 fable in Peter Aerts all in one night.

In a classical “Striker vs. Wrestler” battle, whoever can exercise their game-plan initial will come out on top. Obviously, each quarrel starts out standing. Seeing as Lesnar has a tough time fortifying punches once a initial strike has landed, I’d have to give Overeem a curtsy in this bout. With dual chosen fighters in a categorical event, we don’t wish to gamble too most income though. Bet adequate income for we to caring about a bout, yet don’t gamble so most where we can’t take your date out to a good New Year’s cooking on Sunday.

**Disclaimer: The betting recommendation in this mainstay is usually a suggestion. If we or anyone we know has a gambling problem, greatfully revisit www.ncpgambling.org. Remember, play with calm and comprehension or don’t play during all.**

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Tags: Alistair Overeem, Bettor Breakdown, Brock Lesnar, Donald Cerrone, jon fitch, Nam Phan, Nate Diaz, UFC 141